Russian forces made a breakthrough on the front northwest of Avdiywka, capturing Novobachmutivka after advancing from the town Otscheretyne. Despite being small towns, this victory could be a sign of a broader advance by the Russian armed forces. The Ukrainian defense line south of Novobachmutivka is currently collapsing, prompting the Ukrainian armed forces to potentially move another ten kilometers to the west to form a new defensive line on the Vovcha River.
Russian troops are also advancing north and northwest of Otscheretyne, gaining manageable terrain. This progress could have a significant impact similar to past captures that led to further advances. The 115th Mechanized Brigade of Ukraine is being blamed for the Russian breakthrough, citing lack of fresh forces, artillery ammunition, and defensive systems as contributing factors. Russian FAB bombs equipped with navigation systems have been causing damage to Ukrainian positions.
With the Russian breakthrough, pressure is mounting on the Ukrainian armed forces to complete a larger defense line that is under construction. A major Russian offensive is expected in the coming weeks, with units near the front west of Avdiywka. The 47th Mechanized Brigade is heavily involved in defending this sector, facing challenges from Russian drone technology and armored units.
The Supreme Commander of the Ukrainian Armed Forces has acknowledged a significant deterioration in the situation on the Eastern Front. Military intelligence predicts a further deterioration in the near future. This outlook suggests a challenging period ahead for Ukrainian forces as they combat Russian advances and technological capabilities.